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| Headline image for Part 5 of the THBN Thomas Frank Series, asking if Mathys Tel will become Tottenham Hotspur’s next breakout star under Thomas Frank. |
Good morning and today we continue with our Thomas Frank Prediction Series, links for which you can find at the bottom.
This morning, it’s the turn of Mathys Tel to come under the spotlight.
As Spurs fans, I don’t have to waste my time telling you who he is to appease some Google algorithm.
So far, looking forward, the THBN predictions will be:
⚡ Thomas Frank Series Part 5: The Mathys Tel Prediction
1. 🔢 2024‑25 Snapshot (Tottenham Hotspur Loan)
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20 appearances, 3 goals (2 PL, 1 cup), 1 assist during his loan stint from February
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In 13 Premier League games: 2 goals, 0.26 xG/90 (2.40 xG total), 0.18 npxG/90 (1.70 npxG), 1.41 shots/90 (13 total shots), 61.5% shot accuracy, 15.4% conversion
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Also contributed 0.20 xA/90 and averaged 1.41 key passes/90, plus excellent dribbling ability: 4.01 dribbles/90 (95th percentile, which means he’s better than 95% of players in his position)
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Overall record including cups/Europe: 20 games, 3 goals, 1 assist
2. 🧩 Fit under Thomas Frank
Frank’s system at Brentford thrives on:
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🔁 Fluid attacking structure — wing-forward rotation and interchanging positions.
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⚡ Pressing forwards who can both press quickly and exploit transitions.
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🎯 Early shots, efficient chance creation, and intelligent off-ball movement.
Tel’s attributes:
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High-intensity dribbling and ball progression, matching Frank’s desired forward dynamics.
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Predicted shots and xG suggest he’s capable of injecting direct threat, with plenty of encouraging early numbers.
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Penalty-taking reliability (1/1 converted) indicates composure under pressure
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Assist and key-pass data (0.20 xA/90, 1.41 key passes) suggest potential in link-up play.
3. 🎯 Projected Output (2025‑26)
| Scenario | Shots | Conv % | Goals (PL) | Assists | G+A Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 45 | 15% | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Expected | 55 | 18% | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| Upside (adapt + volume) | 60+ | 18–20% | 11–12 | 7+ | 18+ |
Takeaways:
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Expect 10 PL goals, 5–6 assists in a full 30+ game role.
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If sharpens finishing and takes more early shots, could reach 12 goals, 7+ assists, 19+ goal involvements.
4. 🧭 Conclusion
Mathys Tel embodies what Thomas Frank seeks: dynamic, press-happy attackers who can dribble, make early runs, and rotate fluently.
With a full campaign and tactical adjustment, a 10-goal, 6‑assist season (16 goal involvements) is a realistic baseline, with higher upside if his shot volume/finishing improves.
I think Spurs fans will be very happy with his signing by the end of the 2025/26 Premier League season.
OK, Part 6 tomorrow and we move on to Wilson Odobert.
