Thomas Frank Series Part 4: The Son Heung‑min Prediction

Headline image for Part 4 of our Thomas Frank Series — analysing if Son Heung-min will thrive under Thomas Frank’s system at Spurs.

Good morning once again folks, the start of a new week.

Frank could be a downer, Solanke an upper, Johnson a downer and Son an upper.

That’s the thinking process at the moment, assuming Son stays.

⚡ Son Heung‑min under Thomas Frank: Prediction & Analysis

1. 🔢 2024‑25 Snapshot

• 7 Premier League goals & 9 assists in 30 PL appearances (2,118 min) — 16 goal involvements, 0.68 G/A per 90 

• 7.14 xG, 0.28 non‑penalty xG/90, 39 shots (26 on target) → 66.7% accuracy; goal per 5.6 shots

• 9 assists, 0.37 xA/90, top 2% for key passes (2.17/90) 

• Despite scoring involvement, Son finished slightly below his expected goals, indicating a dip in finishing compared to previous campaigns 

2. 🧩 Fit under Thomas Frank

Frank’s approach at Brentford emphasizes:

• ⚡ Directness, pressing & quick transitions.

• 🔁 Wingers who can efficiently shoot early and supply crosses.

• 🧩 Collective buildup, fewer tap-ins, more creative movement.

Son’s strengths:

• Clinical early shooting and off-ball movement.

• Strong chance creation (key passes/xA elite).

• Leadership & relentless running — ideal for Frank’s pressing setup 

Areas to adapt:

• Increase shot volume or efficiency — his 7 goals came from just 7.14 xG.

• Sustain involvement across all competitions, not just through assists.

• Maintain fitness: injuries (e.g., post-April foot issue) limited some impact 

3. 🎯 Goal & Assist Projection (2025‑26)

Summary:

• Realistic range: 9–11 league goals, 10 assists (19–21 G/A total)

• Optimistic case (if efficiency + volume both up): 12–13 goals, 10–12 assists (22–25 G/A total)

4. 🧭 Conclusion

Son is an excellent match for Frank’s system: early shots, interplay, pressing, leadership. 

With slight increases in shot volume or sharpness, he’s poised to match or even exceed his 2024–25 output. 

Expect 20+ combined goal involvements, with 12+ this time as goals, growing into the role Frank envisions.

I feel, if he stays, that we could see a Sonny revival this season.

I’m optimistic.

So, who is coming up tomorrow in Part 5? 

Mathys Tel.

⚙️ The Thomas Frank Series

Part 1: The Thomas Frank Prediction

Part 2: The Dominic Solanke Prediction

Part 3: The Brennan Johnson Prediction

📚 Sources

• FBref – Son Heung‑min Profile & Match Logs (2024‑25): includes 7 goals, 9 assists, 7.2 xG, 5.6 npxG, 8.2 xA, and per‑90 stats reuters.com+14fbref.com+14en.sportschosun.com+14

• FBref Scouting Report – 2024‑25 Premier League: highlights his shot‑creating (4.99 SCA/90) and assist metrics (0.38 xA/90) aws.fbref.com+2aws.fbref.com+2aws.fbref.com+2

• FBref Player Comparison – Attacking/Winger metrics 2024‑25: contextualises his creativity and defensive work fbref.com

• Football365 – Premier League Assist Rankings 2024‑25: confirms Son had 9 assists (joint top‑5) football365.com+1aws.fbref.com+1

• Reuters & BBC – Foot injury in April 2025: notes squad absences in Europa League due to the injury x.com+7cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com+7reuters.com+7

• Reuters – Saudi interest 2025: outlines performance dip and contract context